PM Update: Chance of night frost tonight; Sunnier and warmer on Monday

We are near or at the high temperatures of the day, with the mid-50s being the most typical temperature. The warmest values are generally around and within the ring road. Other than a few raindrops east and south of Fredericksburg, we stayed dry. There may be a little sun before sunset, but let’s not hold our breath. There is a chance of some frost tonight, but tomorrow it will be sunnier and warmer.

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See you tonight: Intermittent frosts are possible, especially in low-lying areas near and west of Interstate 95. Bring in those tender plants, which I hope you have kept in portable pots, per my advice! The sky should get brighter over time, but perhaps not in a stable way. The light breeze from the northwest will slowly diminish as pre-dawn temperatures reach the mid-30s at around 40 degrees.

Tomorrow (Monday): We’ll start the work week with mostly sunny skies and the beginning of a warming trend as high temperatures reach within a few degrees above 65 degrees. Expect mainly a light breeze from the northwest, with some gusts of around 25 km/h possible. Tonight it looks quiet under a mostly clear sky. Because of that combination, I don’t want to rule out a few frost spots in the usually coldest areas of the region. More generally, we should expect slightly milder low temperatures, in the upper 30s to low 40s.

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Addressing concerns that recently dry conditions could turn into drought

I’ve heard grumblings about our recent pattern of less rain, but I wanted to reiterate our excess rain since January 1 and the lack of drought in our region. There are few places that have received less than 100 percent of normal rainfall since the beginning of the year:

The drought status in our greater region remains clear. Since last week, a slight increase in first-level drought conditions was seen in North Carolina, but nowhere else.

Looking ahead, I have found above average precipitation levels from this week through next month. This is reflected in the drought outlook for the month ahead, which keeps us clear.

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Addressing concerns that recently dry conditions could turn into drought

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